Sunday, December 23, 2007

Betting the Nutz.

It is not that often that you flop (or turn) a great hand and also get paid off. I am talking flopping a full house or quads for the most part, maybe even a straight flush. By the turn you know if you have the absolute nuts with these hands. Hands like a set, the top of a straight, or a flush are great, but can be cracked on the river, you can never say for sure they are safe on the turn.

Betting the absolute nutz, before the river, takes some skill. You can not do this on a very tight table. You need to have a player or two in the hand that see value in chasing, that you know live to chase. Also helps to have someone that is either trying to get even with you and/or that thinks you over bet your hands.

The objective is to bet your high winning percentage hand on the flop the same way you would a very good but beatable hand. Like protecting your set or straight from a flush draw. This is similar to the river shove to induce a call, but works much better as you tend to get players willing to risk more on a chase then on a weak connection after the river.

For example: I had pocket 9's, bet them preflop 3x BB with one caller. The flop was Q 9 9 with 2 clubs. I bet the pot from UTG, the other player tanked then reraised 3x my bet. A this point I have more than I can ask for. If I just smooth call they may come to their senses so I shove back (which is pretty much 2x their raise), of course they call. To my surprise they did not even have a Queen, held Ace something with one club. If I had checked this down to the river, the traditional approach, they would have possibly made one small probe bet then mucked to any pressure on any street.

Always try and figure out, based on the other players in the hand, how can you make the most money every hand you are betting. If someone thinks I am bluffing, I'd rather push with the nutz then with a bluff.

Tuesday, December 4, 2007

Nothing up my sleeves.

Poker is all about people being mislead, in one way or another. Sometimes you are not doing this on purpose, others just force themselves to not believe the truth. Sometimes you are the one that refuses to belive the obvious.

The net result is what it is, regardless of how it was performed. Some people focus too much on the path to the result, rather than how they ended up there. It really does not matter if you read the other person's cards right, you also have to read the other person. If you know someone will call any bet to see the river, then you are the one that can control your loses.

Do not mislead yourself, stop allowing other players to be in control. Control your game, if you are out of control then stop and regroup. Keep in mind that if you risk your stack several times a game, the odds are that you will eventually lose your stack no matter how tight you play.

Do not allow others to trap you into risking your stack. Laying down good cards is not a bad thing to do when someone attacks the pot after the flop. So what if they called your big preflop bet and the flop was all low cards. If they attack back, they can have anything from 2 pair to who knows how many outs. Protecting lets say $5 invested against a $50 shove is many times the wrong thing to do. Now if your pocket cards improved on the flop, then go for it. Just do not put yourself into the mindset that you can not lay down your hand, because, that is when you are no longer in control.

Some players know I play a semi-tight agressive game, most think I am very tight agressive. A few think I am a fish, a chaser, a donkey. There are some players, sharks, that target tight players. They prefer the weak tight players, but will take on the agressive ones as well. They will for example call your 10x Bb preflop bet with any 2 cards. Nothing up their sleeves! They pretty much know though when they are ahead of a tight player. They will risk a bit up front, and just muck when they need to. They do not care about playing pocket Aces, anyone can do that. They care about breaking pocket Aces, Kings, etc...

Next time you win a big hand, or lose one, take a step back and make sure you were in control. If you were out of control, ask yourself how you got there. If you can get others out of control, make sure you protect yourself from being mislead the same way.